By now, most of the world has heard of the crisis in the sub-prime mortgage market in the United States. Many will also know about what appeared to be the near collapse of a major British lending institution, the Northern Rock.
But what about the possibility of a similar crisis occurring in other countries, Italy for example?
On the surface, it does not look as though a sub-prime crisis could happen in Italy. After all, it would seem that Italian lenders are more prudent than their State side counterparts. Further, Italians do not generally take out huge mortgages as many property purchases are funded from family resources, inheritances and the like. All seems to be sound, and risk levels appear to be low. One hopes so, anyway. The other evening though, I learnt something from someone which made me wonder whether Italy was as invulnerable to a sub-prime crisis as I first thought.
The other day, I was chatting with a union rep while having a pint down at the 442 pub. Now this chap, who works for a major multinational in Italy incidentally, told me that he knows of a few cases in which people who earn little more than one thousand Euros a month, have been managing to take out mortgages with monthly repayments as high as seven hundred and fifty Euros a month. These individuals had been coming to him because they were finding it very difficult to meet the repayments. And he gave me the impression that the numbers of people who were finding themselves in difficulties was increasing. My initial reaction was, ‘How could a lender hand out mortgages with such high repayments to people on such a low salaries?’ In answer, I was told that when going through the mortgage application process, these people intimate that they have access to enough funds to be able to cover their debt, despite the high repayments. And this mere intimation seems to have been enough to for them to have secured mortgages. This is when sub-prime crisis alarm bells began ringing in my head.
Now, even though a potentially worrying situation could exist in Italy, I have to admit that I really have no idea as to the extent of this reckless lending, and, to be honest, whether any reckless lending has indeed been taking place. I am after all, basing my suppositions on a chat with one union representative.
However, perhaps this situation needs to be looked into, so my worries can be proven to be unjustified, as I hope they are. And preferably someone should start investigating this before it is too late.
I hope that the situation in the US has already got lenders here checking and double checking the level of sub-prime type lending in Italy is still at manageable levels. Time, as always, will tell.
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Well, I know more that one person who takes slightly more than thousand euro a month and is paying more than 700euros per month morgage for a 2 rooms apartment. Some of them live with their partner and have a semi-attached house. Not mentioning other expenses such as car (2!) insurance and bills..
How these people do that! I wondered.. I got the same salary but not only that I can’t afford a car I’m paying rent for a room.
After a while, you found out that that they DON’T pay the morgage on their own! Their parents help. On Ballarò they discussed of this before, that most over 30 Italians still gets 50-100 euro pocket money from their parents. Some has their parents who pay their morgage. And usually their parents bought them the 1st automobile…
They might seem ”lucky”, but if you think of it.. it’s actually scary. If young people now has no saving habit and no cash in their bank, once their parents are gone… who are going to take care of their children.. the next generation?
And of course, I’m sure that there’s going to be a crisis on estate.. sooner or later.. price can’t keep rising while there are more and more fresh graduated who doesn’t get more than thousand euro paid a month…
Ari, what you say about mums and dads paying expensive mortgages for their kids is dead right. But this is how it works here. Ma and Pa inherit their parents’ place and use the cash to finance the purchase of their own children’s house. These kids then have no real expenses, so they can save up for their own children, and expect to inherit their mums and dads places. And so the cycle continues. This is how the next generation is looked after.
Only some people do not have well healed parents and these people are the ones getting into difficulties with high mortgage repayments. This means that a sub-prime crisis could occur, but most probably on a very small scale.
Regards,
Alex